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PancakeSwap [$CAKE] advanced sharply toward $1.565 during mid-April, yet persistent selling pressure capped every breakout attempt. The second rejection reinforced a distribution pattern, signaling that larger participants were unloading positions.
However, the price weakened throughout May and gradually lost support within the established demand zone.
Once the $1.316–$1.388 region failed, downside momentum accelerated and market sentiment deteriorated further.
As a result, liquidation-driven selling pushed $CAKE toward $1.10, creating a capitulation low. However, buyers returned aggressively and reclaimed $1.316, confirming strong post-capitulation demand.
Source:
$CAKE/USDT on TradingView
Moreover, rising volume supported the recovery, while price stabilized above key levels.
Meanwhile, RSI rose to 68.34, reflecting strong upside momentum as the price approached a key resistance test.
This implies that buyers remain active, though momentum may soon face resistance from short-term profit-taking.
Therefore, sustained acceptance above $1.388 could encourage another advance toward the $1.565 resistance area. Yet, a breakdown below $1.316 would weaken the recovery structure and increase the probability of a retest toward the $1.10 capitulation zone once again.
Can $CAKE clear $1.345 and extend toward $1.461?
Following the recovery from the $1.10 capitulation low, $CAKE has extended its rebound and now trades around $1.332 at the time of writing.
After reclaiming $1.316, buyers pushed the price back toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $1.345, indicating that demand remains active following the sharp selloff.
Consequently, the recent structure has improved, with higher lows replacing the panic-driven decline seen in early June.
Momentum indicators support this recovery, as RSI has climbed to 66.25 and CMF remains positive at 0.34, reflecting genuine capital inflows. Furthermore, the MACD bullish crossover suggests that buying pressure continues to build.
Source:
$CAKE/USD on TradingView
However, price is now approaching a critical decision area. The $1.345 level represents both a key Fibonacci retracement and nearby resistance, making seller participation likely.
If buyers secure a sustained close above this level, attention could shift toward $1.395 and subsequently $1.461.
Nevertheless, failure to overcome resistance may trigger profit-taking after the recent rally. In that case, a pullback toward $1.316 or the 61.8% retracement at $1.294 becomes increasingly likely, while a deeper breakdown could reopen the path toward $1.20.
Final Summary
- PancakeSwap [$CAKE] has recovered from its $1.10 capitulation low and reclaimed key support at $1.316.
- PancakeSwap remains constructive, though rejection at $1.345 may encourage a retracement toward $1.316 or $1.294 support.
