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Bloomberg Intelligence kompaniyasining katta makro strategisti Mike McGlone va moliya bozorlarida yaqindan kuzatiladigan tajribali texnik tahlilchi Gareth Soloway global iqtisodiyotning yo‘nalishi haqida jiddiy ogohlantirishlar berishdi.
Mutaxassislarning ta'kidlashicha, ayniqsa fond bozorlaridagi haddan tashqari optimizm keskin tuzatishga olib kelishi mumkin va deflyatsion davr yaqinlashmoqda.
Bloomberg Intelligence’dan Mike McGlone bozorlar "likvidlik" haqiqatiga duch kelishi kerakligini ta’kidlaydi. McGlone fikricha, xomashyo narxlarining, ayniqsa mis va xom neft narxlarining pasayishi global iqtisodiy pasayishning eng yaqqol ko‘rsatkichi hisoblanadi. U Federal rezervning foiz stavkalarini oshirishining ta’siri kechikib namoyon bo‘lishini va bu “yumshoq qo‘nish” emas, “qattiq qo‘nish” bo‘lishini aytadi.
McGlone Bitcoin (BTC) va xavfli aktivlar o‘rtasidagi korrelyatsiyani ta’kidlab, bu davrda oltin eng xavfsiz boshpana bo‘lib qolishini bashorat qilmoqda.
24 yillik texnik tahlil tajribasiga ega Gareth Soloway esa narx harakatlariga qarab bozor “cho‘qqiga chiqqan” bo‘lishi mumkinligini ta’kidladi.
Solowayning fikricha, texnologiya aksiyalaridagi (ayniqsa Nvidia va AI bozoridagi o‘sish) pufak yorila boshlaganida, Bitcoin ham bu to‘lqindan chetda qolmaydi. U investorlar Bitcoin’ni “xavfsiz boshpana” sifatida izlayotganini, ammo bu aslida spekulyativ rally ekanini aytadi. Soloway $64,000 darajasi texnik jihatdan muhimligini, bu darajadan past yopilish narxni tezda pastga tortishini ta’kidlaydi. U grafikdagi “manfiy divergensiyalar” (narx o‘sishda bo‘lsa-da, impulsning kamayishi) trend o‘zgarishi signali ekanini bildiradi.
Analitikning fikriga ko‘ra, Bitcoin hozirda “aqlli pul” chiqib ketayotgan va “yakka investorlar” FOMO (o‘tkazib yuborishdan qo‘rqish) sabab kirib kelayotgan xavfli hududda joylashgan.
